7

Innovante
6yo Mare · 10-5
Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Strasbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-05-09 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-01-12 | Pau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +13.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/12/2023 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 12/01/2024 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 47% | -0.36 |
| 02/10/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |