7

Innovante

6yo Mare · 10-5

Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 25/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y 15025/12C?C0 @ Pau 12/01/2024 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f87y Std 15012/01C?C1 @ Compiegne 02/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 1362/10C1C0 @ Compiegne 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 15220/10C?C0 @ Dieppe 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 15727/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2025-10-20Compiegne?2nd2nd0
2025-10-02Compiegne?11th11th0
2025-06-25Strasbourg?0
2024-05-09Lyon-Parilly?0
2024-01-12Pau?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1212/012/1020/1027/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%

Delivery trend +13.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/12/20232nd14/126%90%+0.64
12/01/20249th10/382%47%-0.36
02/10/202511th80/10%9%+0.09
20/10/20252nd12/137%86%+0.49
27/06/20262nd22/10%89%+0.89