2
Kelonia
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-24 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-24 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2023 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 20/11/2023 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 08/08/2024 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 02/10/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 05/11/2024 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 24/11/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/03/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/04/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 76% | +0.29 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |