5
Kiroga
6yo Mare · 10-5
Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |