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Great Spirit

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Strasbourg · Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (prix Du Maire Chretien Glass) Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 15/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12815/12C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12828/02C5C5 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12822/03C5C5 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12818/04C5C5 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12820/05C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-20Nancy?6th6th0
2026-04-18Strasbourg?5th5th0
2026-03-22Strasbourg?2nd2nd0
2026-02-28Fontainebleau?8th8th0
2025-12-15Lyon La Soie?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1228/0222/0318/0420/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/202513th18/15%14%+0.09
28/02/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
22/03/20262nd40/10%88%+0.88
18/04/20265th10/382%73%-0.09
20/05/20266th5/174%62%-0.12