IvyArcIvyArc
3

Noble Memory

3yo Colt · 9-2

Strasbourg · Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (prix Du Maire Chretien Glass) Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12317/04C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12830/04C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12822/05C5C5 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12816/07C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Compiegne?6th6th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-04-30ParisLongchamp?7th7th0
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0430/0422/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20267th10/147%40%-0.07
30/04/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
22/05/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
16/07/20266th7/163%44%-0.19