4

Pegasus D'azur

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Strasbourg · Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (prix Du Maire Chretien Glass) Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#16

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 15/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12815/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 12821/01C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12814/02C5C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12520/03C?C5 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12818/04C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-18Strasbourg?7th7th0
2026-03-20Le Croise-Laroche?7th7th0
2026-02-14Lyon La Soie?8th8th0
2026-01-21Lyon La Soie?9th9th0
2025-12-15Lyon La Soie?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1221/0114/0220/0318/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +17.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/202514th20/10%7%+0.07
21/01/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
14/02/20268th50/10%50%+0.50
20/03/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
18/04/20267th22/10%60%+0.60