Starlit Destiny

3yo Filly · 8-12

Strasbourg · Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (prix Du Maire Chretien Glass) Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-05-26	Evreux	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-02-27	Chantilly	2	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-01-22	Deauville	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength13%

Delivery trend -45.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/01/2026	3rd	20/1	0%	80%	+0.80
27/02/2026	5th	14/1	26%	33%	+0.07
26/05/2026	3rd	11/8	93%	82%	-0.11