3

Horizon Dore
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 118
Strasbourg · Grand Prix Region Grand Est-12e Etape Du Defi Du Galop-g.camprubi Listed Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |