2

Merano

4yo Colt · 9-1

Strasbourg · Grand Prix Region Grand Est-12e Etape Du Defi Du Galop-g.camprubi Listed Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12518/07C5C1 @ Marseille-borely 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 125C1 @ Marseille-borely 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12118/10C1C1 @ Strasbourg 11/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 123C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13615/03C51 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1251 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12523/0511 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1251 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12517/081projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan11st1st0
2026-06-20Compiegne17th7th0
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat16th6th0
2026-04-19Toulouse14th4th0
2026-03-15Lyon-Parilly?2nd6th4
2025-11-11Strasbourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0711/1123/0517/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
15/09/20254th10/147%63%+0.15
18/10/20252nd11/142%83%+0.41
11/11/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
15/03/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07
19/04/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
23/05/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
20/06/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
17/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09