4
Serie
6yo Mare · 8-11
Strasbourg · Grand Prix Region Grand Est-12e Etape Du Defi Du Galop-g.camprubi Listed Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-05-02 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-04-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-03-18 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2023-12-21 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-12-07 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2023 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/10/2023 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/11/2023 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 07/12/2023 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/12/2023 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 18/03/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 14/04/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2024 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |