9

Akamasoa
4yo Filly · 8-8
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/02/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |