6

La Flandrine

4yo Filly · 8-12

Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 13/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12813/03C5C5 @ Deauville 23/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 124C5 @ Chantilly 08/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1248/11C5C5 @ Pornichet 22/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1203 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12516/0133 @ Chantilly 05/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1273 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12227/0233 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1244 @ Dieppe 09/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1329/094projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Dieppe412th12th0
2026-07-18Dieppe313th13th0
2026-02-27Chantilly311th11th0
2026-02-05Chantilly37th7th0
2026-01-16Deauville39th9th0
2025-11-22Pornichet?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0322/1127/029/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20253rd20/10%75%+0.75
23/10/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
08/11/20256th18/15%64%+0.59
22/11/20258th13/891%22%-0.69
16/01/20269th33/10%38%+0.38
05/02/20267th11/142%57%+0.15
27/02/202611th18/15%29%+0.23
18/07/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
09/09/202612th20/10%15%+0.15