10
Louve Precieuse
7yo Mare · 8-7
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |