1
Nikulya Fal
4yo Filly · 9-6
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/02/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 27/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |