5
Quella
4yo Filly · 9-2
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 04/04/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/07/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |