11
Secret Glory
7yo Mare · 8-0
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 30% | -0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |