12

Seventh Wonder

5yo Gelding · 8-0

Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y

#12

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 09/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 1289/12C5C0 @ Lyon La Soie 06/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 125C5 @ Nancy 05/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1275/04C5C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125C0 @ Compiegne 30/05/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12830/05C?C5 @ Strasbourg 25/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123C0 @ Vittel 25/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12525/07C?4 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 1124 @ Vittel 06/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1196/074projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Vittel411th11th0
2026-03-22Strasbourg49th9th0
2025-07-25Vittel?13th13th0
2025-06-25Strasbourg?8th8th0
2025-05-30Compiegne?14th14th0
2025-05-08Strasbourg?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/128/0525/076/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20249th28/10%0%0.00
06/01/20259th33/10%20%+0.20
05/04/202510th33/10%0%0.00
08/05/202513th33/10%20%+0.20
30/05/202514th33/10%7%+0.07
25/06/20258th66/10%36%+0.36
25/07/202513th22/10%0%0.00
22/03/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
06/07/202611th25/10%0%0.00