8
Toogoodforschool
6yo Mare · 8-8
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#4
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 09/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 19/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |