4
Topinambur
9yo Gelding · 9-2
Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 30% | -0.49 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |