3

Wilmot

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Strasbourg · Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace Handicap · 7f 155y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 12321/09C5C0 @ Compiegne 10/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 127C0 @ Fontainebleau 03/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1323/11C?C0 @ Chantilly 09/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 12422/02C?4 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 1274 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1218/0543 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1304 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12116/064projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Strasbourg414th14th0
2026-05-20Compiegne37th7th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg42nd2nd0
2026-03-22Strasbourg42nd2nd0
2026-02-22Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2025-12-09Chantilly?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/099/128/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
10/10/202510th28/10%36%+0.36
03/11/202511th16/116%33%+0.18
09/12/202513th25/10%14%+0.14
22/02/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
22/03/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
08/05/20262nd5/174%93%+0.20
20/05/20267th11/271%54%-0.17
16/06/202614th9/153%7%-0.45