9

Belvedere Palace

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Au Soleil A Molsheim (prix Du Donon) Handicap · 7f 155y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 15/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13415/08C?C5 @ Chantilly 01/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 127C0 @ Chantilly 02/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1302/10C?C8 @ Fontainebleau 06/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 158C8 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1528/12C84 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1234 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13228/0744 @ Dieppe 24/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 123C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1232/09C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0
2026-08-24Dieppe47th7th0
2026-07-28Compiegne412th12th0
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp49th9th0
2025-12-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-12-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/086/1128/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
01/09/20258th8/158%36%-0.22
02/10/202510th28/10%31%+0.31
06/11/20259th14/126%11%-0.15
08/12/20257th14/126%54%+0.28
09/07/20269th12/137%0%-0.37
28/07/202612th40/10%0%0.00
24/08/20267th66/10%33%+0.33
02/09/20265th28/10%56%+0.56