6
Fireman
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Au Soleil A Molsheim (prix Du Donon) Handicap · 7f 155y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 21% | -0.34 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 29/05/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |