4
Golden Brown
4yo Gelding · 9-12
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Au Soleil A Molsheim (prix Du Donon) Handicap · 7f 155y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |