8
Knossington
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Au Soleil A Molsheim (prix Du Donon) Handicap · 7f 155y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 22/03/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |