1
Verdansk
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Au Soleil A Molsheim (prix Du Donon) Handicap · 7f 155y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 13th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 08/05/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 25/06/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 79% | -0.07 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 11/11/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |