3

Maitre Du Chene

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 17/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 27/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/04C?4 @ Vincennes 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-06-14La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-05-15Vincennes45th5th0
2026-04-19La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?11th11th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1123/0314/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20257th22/10%45%+0.45
27/11/20254th4/179%70%-0.09
25/02/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
23/03/202611th50/10%33%+0.33
19/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
15/05/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
14/06/20262nd7/491%90%-0.01
01/09/20266th14/126%55%+0.28