6

Major D'ivy

4yo Colt · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 15/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/09C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/11C?C0 @ Laval 23/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 023/04C?5 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/065C0 @ Laval 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/07C?C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 010/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-08-10Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-07-05Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-06-04Pontchateau52nd2nd0
2026-05-23Enghien50
2026-04-23Laval?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/094/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -14.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20258th50/10%53%+0.53
07/11/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
23/04/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
04/06/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92
05/07/20262nd3/184%90%+0.06
10/08/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
01/09/20268th7/163%36%-0.27