4

Millium Quesnot
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | La Capelle | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 06/12/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |