4

Millium Quesnot

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 30/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/10C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 027/12C?4 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/0444 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Mauquenchy 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/095projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Mauquenchy56th6th0
2026-07-25Enghien49th9th0
2026-07-04Enghien40
2026-06-19La Capelle40
2026-04-30Vincennes47th7th0
2026-04-18Enghien49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1017/1230/0410/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
08/11/20252nd8/158%91%+0.33
06/12/20259th28/10%20%+0.20
17/12/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
27/12/20253rd40/10%78%+0.78
18/04/20269th125/10%38%+0.38
30/04/20267th80/10%40%+0.40
25/07/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
10/09/20266th80/10%67%+0.67