2
Morpheus De Guez
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |