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7

Must De Villard

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bayeux - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/10C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 09/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Laval 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/07C?C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Laval?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Enghien40
2026-07-05Laval?1st1st0
2025-11-09Chatelaillon?6th6th0
2025-10-03Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-08-27Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0727/083/109/115/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20254th22/10%57%+0.57
27/08/20252nd7/163%89%+0.26
03/10/20256th9/153%67%+0.14
09/11/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
05/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
19/08/20263rd11/142%82%+0.40