2
Nerprun
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Dangeul - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |