12
Nicou Chak
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Dangeul - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |