6

Noble De Source
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Dangeul - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |