8

Noccato D'orly

3yo Colt · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Dangeul - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 018/02C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/05C?2 @ Enghien 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 08/082projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?0
2026-08-08Enghien25th5th0
2026-05-05Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-14Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0
2026-02-18Laval?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0214/045/058/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
14/04/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
05/05/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
08/08/20265th40/10%50%+0.50