10

Noman's Point

3yo Colt · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Dangeul - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 021/0164 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 07/024C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 023/06C?3 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/073projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Enghien32nd2nd0
2026-06-23Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-02-07Cagnes-sur-Mer41st1st0
2026-01-21Cagnes-sur-Mer61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/017/0223/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/02/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
23/06/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
11/07/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27