13
Nanika Du Pont
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |