2

Nausica De Corbery

3yo Filly · 8-13

Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 08/0265 @ Cordemais 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 027/025C0 @ Caen 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 030/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 03/08C?C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 12819/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1231/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-19Laval?3rd3rd0
2026-08-03Chatelaillon?4th4th0
2026-04-14Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-03-30Caen?4th4th0
2026-02-27Cordemais54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0214/041/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
27/02/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
30/03/20264th66/10%73%+0.73
14/04/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
03/08/20264th28/10%50%+0.50
19/08/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
01/09/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71