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Nayama Berry

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12510/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12529/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12819/01C?1 @ Vincennes 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12813/0212 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12327/0223 @ Enghien 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 12816/0731 @ Vincennes 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 12822/081projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Vincennes19th9th0
2026-07-16Enghien31st1st0
2026-02-27Vincennes27th7th0
2026-02-13Vincennes16th6th0
2026-01-19Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-29Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1213/0222/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +11.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20258th7/163%42%-0.21
29/12/20259th11/142%33%-0.09
19/01/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
13/02/20266th28/10%44%+0.44
27/02/20267th33/10%50%+0.50
16/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
22/08/20269th25/10%11%+0.11