7
Nemesis Du Metz
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |