3
Nepal Misa
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |