10
Neptune Chante
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.33 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 29/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |