1

New Girl Of Mamat

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#1

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 12317/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12816/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12826/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-08-18Cabourg?0
2026-06-16Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-05Vincennes30
2026-05-06Vincennes?0
2026-03-17Enghien?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0316/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +11.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
16/06/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
26/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34