8

Nina Fox
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Reims | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |