8

Nina Fox

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 05/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 05/08C?C0 @ Reims 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 019/10C?C0 @ Chartres 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12814/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12821/04C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12827/06C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-04-21Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-14Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-04-05Chartres?3rd3rd0
2025-10-19Reims?5th5th0
2025-08-05Cabourg?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0819/105/0414/0421/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20257th20/10%40%+0.40
19/10/20255th14/126%64%+0.37
05/04/20263rd100/10%82%+0.82
14/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
21/04/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
27/06/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42