4
Nina Rose
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix France Alzheimer 2026 (px Bagneres) - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |