13

Diva Del Ronco

7yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Toulouse 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 09/0142 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 021/0333 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03 @ Vincennes 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Vincennes38th8th0
2026-04-04Vincennes33rd3rd0
2026-03-21Vincennes37th7th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-02-03Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-22Vincennes213th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1222/0121/0329/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
19/12/20258th20/10%53%+0.53
09/01/20264th10/382%70%-0.12
22/01/202613th66/10%20%+0.20
03/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
25/02/20262nd13/266%92%+0.27
21/03/20267th6/168%60%-0.08
04/04/20263rd5/287%87%-0.00
29/08/20268th66/10%42%+0.42