5

Faxima

11yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 030/08C?C0 @ Angers 01/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 018/12C?4 @ Cordemais 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/03C?4 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/064C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 04 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes44th4th0
2026-08-19Laval?0
2026-06-27Enghien?11th11th0
2026-06-05Vincennes44th4th0
2026-05-02Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0827/025/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20259th13/266%33%-0.32
01/10/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
18/12/20255th66/10%64%+0.64
27/02/20265th66/10%64%+0.64
16/03/20267th33/10%60%+0.60
02/05/20263rd22/10%87%+0.87
05/06/20264th8/158%80%+0.22
27/06/202611th11/271%33%-0.38
12/09/20264th33/10%73%+0.73