11

Idole Jallerie

8yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 019/06C?C0 @ Vire 25/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 015/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 19/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Caen 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 011/10C?5 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05 @ Vire 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 01/0354 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Vincennes?0
2026-06-05Vincennes41st1st0
2026-05-18Vire?0
2026-03-21Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-03-01Vire53rd3rd0
2026-01-31Vincennes51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0619/081/035/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20252nd6/168%92%+0.23
25/06/20255th18/15%71%+0.66
15/07/20255th9/153%64%+0.11
19/08/20254th4/179%75%-0.04
11/10/20252nd5/287%93%+0.06
31/01/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
01/03/20263rd4/179%88%+0.09
21/03/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
05/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07