12

Jitane Vallee

7yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/0146 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 03 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 021/053C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Feurs?3rd3rd0
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?1st1st0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence32nd2nd0
2026-02-26Cagnes-sur-Mer62nd2nd0
2026-01-23Cagnes-sur-Mer43rd3rd0
2026-01-18Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1018/0121/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20253rd14/126%86%+0.59
15/11/20253rd7/282%85%+0.03
23/12/20252nd5/174%93%+0.19
18/01/20266th22/10%67%+0.67
23/01/20263rd7/491%75%-0.16
26/02/20262nd5/287%91%+0.04
21/05/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
09/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
07/09/20263rd17/255%78%+0.23