3

Junkie

7yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 04/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 04/03C?4 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/054C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/094projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes412th12th0
2026-08-19Laval?13th13th0
2026-05-22Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-05-02Vincennes49th9th0
2026-03-04Amiens?5th5th0
2026-02-18Laval?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1218/0222/0512/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20259th9/276%38%-0.38
19/12/20257th15/261%60%-0.01
03/02/202611th6/168%23%-0.45
18/02/20264th10/147%79%+0.31
04/03/20265th11/271%56%-0.15
02/05/20269th40/10%47%+0.47
22/05/20263rd18/15%85%+0.79
19/08/202613th66/10%20%+0.20
12/09/202612th9/153%0%-0.53