1
Toscana Southwind
8yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix D'ancenis - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 12/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |